Republicans are fighting for political survival this fall.
But all hell just broke loose.
And pollsters privately told Republicans the worst news they were ever going to hear.
Pollsters Tell Republicans It’s Every Man for Themselves
The Blaze host Steve Deace is one of the most plugged-in commentators in his home state of Iowa.
Deace is one of the neoconservatives who opposed Trump in 2016 and 2024, but who also found a way to make common cause with Trump and MAGA.
Public polls show Democrats holding 8, 10, and even 12-point leads over Republicans on the question of which party Americans want to see running Congress.
Many Republicans doubt these numbers as the polls have been wrong in the past in the Democrats’ favor.
But a viral social media post from Deace made it clear that the political environment Republicans face this year is bad and getting worse.
On his X account, Deace revealed that pollsters told Republicans running for office that even districts Trump won by 15 points in 2024 were now competitive, and Republicans running in districts Trump carried by 10 points or fewer were now trailing Democrats.
“Yesterday, Iowa House Republicans were informed by their own pollsters that if you are in a +15 district you’re within the margin for error, if you’re in a +10 district you’re underwater, and that this might end being an even worse midterm environment than 2006,” Deace began.
Deace compared this environment to 2006, when Democrats rode a backlash to the Iraq War to sweeping control of the House and Senate, and said he went public with this news because he wanted Republicans to understand what they are up against so they take the appropriate action to turn the ship around.
“I slept on whether to share this publicly, because I don’t want to cause anyone to black pill. But this morning I ultimately decided the truth should be shared while there is still six weeks left to do something about it for the good of the country,” Deace added.
Why the Polls Turned Bad for Republicans
Deace said Iowans turned on Republicans, despite Trump winning the state three times in landslides, because of the Iran war and the skyrocketing fuel prices, which are crushing the state’s farm economy, and compared the war to the bailouts and COVID, policies that caused voter revolts against Republicans.
The war, Deace wrote, was now approaching “COVID lockdown level of political albatross. This is approaching TARP bailout levels of unpopular in my home state.”
Deace explained that continuing the war was a huge risk that could result in Democrats winning both houses of Congress and ending the Trump Presidency.
“We are risking what’s left of the Trump presidency on this, because if Democrats take control the legislative branch the Trump domestic agenda we all voted for will largely cease between what a Democrat Congress will do and the courts have already been doing. Not to mention what it will cost individual states like my own, which we have worked so hard to make so red these last 20 years (with Trump’s help),” Deace continued.
What Trump Can Do
Deace then laid out the fact that Republicans don’t have to accept defeat because the cake isn’t yet baked.
But Deace said step one is ending the war in Iran because America can’t solve the world’s problems if communist Democrats seize control at home.
“This whatever/kinda/sorta/but not really war has become an existential misuse of political capital. Many of us never thought it was worth it, and more and more it appears voters agree. We have to save our own country and our own way of life first before we can save anyone else. We have to save America before we can save the world. If a plane is endangered, you are told to put on your mask first otherwise you’re of no use to help save anyone else,” Deace remarked.
Deace argued that Republicans needed to play their ace in the hole and get the President out on the stump to make his case in every key race since Trump is proven as the greatest get-out-the-vote mechanism in American history.
“We need the president out on the stump asap. We need better and way more aggressive messaging. Stop running fake and gay ads about how often so-and-so shows up for votes, and instead mercilessly hammer Democrats on the wickedness they’re voting for. Articulate specifically what the mission/victory is in Iran/Hormuz, because out here in the cheap seats it feels like another Middle East War quagmire regular folks are paying for on both ends all over again,” Deace concluded.
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