There was no way Fox News host Kayleigh McEnany could sugarcoat it.
That’s why McEnany just came out and said it.
And Kayleigh McEnany dropped some bad news that every Republican needs to hear.
The midterm election is seven months away, and the Republican Party’s control of Congress, as well as President Trump’s agenda, are on the line.
Fox News host Kayleigh McEnany knows history is working against the GOP and reminded viewers that the party in power typically loses seats in the midterm election.
“I think there’s a sense he’s doing things. Not to put too rosy a picture on it,t though, midterms will be hard for Republicans. It’s just historically difficult to win when you’re in power, but I would like my odds more with this president than prior presidents,” McEnany stated.
The current polls don’t bode well for Republicans.
The Real Clear Politics polling average shows Democrats holding a six-point lead over Republicans on the generic ballot question of which party Americans want to see in control of Congress.
Donald Trump won the 2024 election in a landslide. Democrats leading Republicans by 6 points would mean Americans swung nearly 10 points towards the Democrats.
But that’s not what the polls actually show.
Quantus Insight was one of the most accurate pollsters in the 2024 election.
And Quantus found in their polls that Americans aren’t moving towards the Democrats, but rather that Trump voters aren’t motivated to turn out and vote.
In a post on social media, Quantus wrote that the irregular voters are dropping out of polls in large enough numbers that it is a legitimate concern about their showing up in November.
Quantus wrote:
Across voter-file-based samples, too many Trump voters are missing to write off as random noise. A year ago, they were much easier to reach. Now, in file after file, parts of the Republican coalition just are not there. And rest assured, when we are not in the field, we are working on these exact issues.
You can weight demographics. You can test recall. But you cannot fully recreate a voter bloc that is not responding and, in some cases, simply is not there.
That does not mean every missing Trump voter has defected. Some of this is still nonresponse bias, and a lot of it may be non-ignorable. But when the same pattern keeps repeating, it starts to look less like a polling quirk and more like a genuine political warning sign.
If that is what we are seeing, 2026 could be a very rough cycle for Republicans and a very strong one for Democrats.
The MAGA base is united behind Trump.
But Trump built his coalition by also attracting irregular voters, particularly young men, by appearing on podcasts like those hosted by Joe Rogan, Theo Von, Tucker Carlson, Shawn Ryan, and Megyn Kelly.
These young, male voters went for Trump because Trump campaigned on no new wars, sealing the border, ending woke, and restarting an economic boom.
The polls are finding that these voters won’t turn to Democrats because Democrats are still woke supporters of open borders.
But Quantus and other pollsters are finding they may have grown disillusioned over the war in Iran and the resulting gas price spike, which may cause them to sit out the midterm election.
And that is the issue Republicans need to fix.
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